... Tribal Council.  Jeff asks Sandra whether she trusts the people in her tribe.  Sandra deftly notes that she's watched the entire series, and knows that whomever Jeff asks about trust isthe one likely on the chopping block (kudos to the producers for actually showing this bit of meta-commentary.  I wouldn't have been surprised if they didn't want to show the contestants' awareness of how the show is edited and manipulated, so they deserve credit for airing Sandra's comment).  Jeff then turns to Courtney, asking her if she figures it is Sandra or her going home.  Courtney simply answers in the affirmative.  When Jeff asks why, Danielle points out that the two women simply aren't in the dominant alliance.  Adding that Sandra always just did whatever Rob told her to do.  Sandra fires back that Danielle acts the same way vis a vis Parvati (Sandra really is rather quick and sharp).  Jeff asks Parvati what is particularly untrustworthy about Courtney.  Parvatideftly evades the question by pointing out that the vote is not about whether Courtney is trustworthy, but simply numbers and alliances.  Jeff asks Jerri about the loss of Coach (who is sitting in a kimono over Jury Land), and she notes that she no longer has an alliance.  Further, she was never asked to be in an alliance.  Courtney calls her on this assertion, pointing out that Jerri was with Rob's alliance and even voted against Parvati, but Jerri was lucky she flipped sides early -- Courtney clearly was too late.  It's time to vote.  The Villains do, and Jeff gathers the ballots.  The first vote is for Jerri.  The suspense lies in who Russell's alliance picked to vote out.  The next vote is for Courtney.  Two more votes for Courtney, until the final Vote.  "The tenth person voted out of Survivor: Heroes vs. Villains and the second member of the Jury...Courtney!"  With Coach sitting indian style and meditating(?!?) , Courtney has her torch snuffed.  With a playful, "Good luck, bitches!" she marches off into the Blue Light of Death.  Jeff notes that the tribes are now even at five apiece, and that tomorrow, Parvati will also reach the 100 day mark.  The Villains head back to camp.

Next time on...Survivor!

The Villains are seen carrying their possessions to the long-awaited Merge.  Russell swears he is solidly with JT and Rupert, but Rupert and Sandra talk about what may actually be happening with Russell and the former Villains.  I think Sandra, being the likeliest to flip as she is on the outs with Russell's crew, will enlighten the Heroes to the non-existence of the "women's alliance."  I wouldn't be surprised if they move to blindside Russell, but will King Hantz catch wind of their plan?  Further, will JT quickly flip from his tribe to join Russell?  What if he hears about Russell's actual strength and his alliance?  Besides feeling like a complete moron for his plan, will JT get wise and do damage control?  Further, will the long-feared alliance between Amanda and Parvati come to fruition?  I think Parvati will definitely keep her girl safe from Russell for the time being, especially with other, stronger targets to aim for (namely, Rupert, JT and Colby).  However this all plays out, next week's episode should be fantastic.

Odds to Win

It was nice to see one of my long shots actually go home instead of one of my favorites.  I honestly can't figure how JT's plan will effect the game, because if he and the Heroes catch wise, they can possibly manipulate Russell right into a blindside and oust him quickly.  Now that Sandra has made it to The Merge, her chances have to improve because she can join the Heroes against Russell, but if JT flips to the remaining Villains, it is still five on five.  Let's see how the odds stack up now.

Danielle: 4-1.  Danielle is still in a great position.  She's protected by Russell, plus she has solidified a pact with Parvati that would hopefully oust Russell before the finals.  If it comes down to her and Parvati, I think the Jury would rather give her the million dollars instead of to a former winner.

Amanda: 9-1.  JT's idiotic plan aside, Amanda is sitting pretty.  The tribes go into The Merge even, and she will likely have the protection of Parvati.  She is still physically stronger than most of the remaining competitors, and definitely mentally stronger tan everyone save, maybe, Russell.

Candice: 12-1.Candice would likely be protected by Amanda (and by extension Parvati) too, at least for a while.  She has quietly gone off the radar, and will be one of Russell's last targets if she keeps a low profile.  She is, however, still a very strong competitor, rivaling Amanda for physical and mental strength.

Jerri: 25-1.  Although she lost Coach last week, and supposedly is aligned with Russell, I can see Jerri flipping to the Heroes and seeking Colby's protection in a heartbeat.  She's a veteran, and can see the danger of staying with Russell too long.  Plus, if she were to make it into a good Finals match-up, I think she'd be a sentimental favorite.  She definitely already has one vote. 

Russell:40-1.  I can't believe I'm moving Russell this high, but he has fallen into an amazing situation.  He. Was. Given. An. Immunity. Idol. By. His. Opponents!  If he can really pull JT over to his side, there's no telling how far he can go.  Yes, he has to watch out for Parvati and a possible blindside, but if he can survive the first post-Merge vote, watch out for Mr. Hantz.

Colby: 55-1.  I knock Colby down because 1) he went along with that idiotic plan, but more importantly 2) he is going to be Russell's first target.  He's a strong physical competitor who is another sentimental favorite to win.  These are two qualities for which Russell has no time. 

Sandra:75-1. Of the former winners, Sandra has the best chance of winning.  She will immediately flip to the Heroes, and as we saw in the preview, will run right to Rupert.  If she can survive a couple weeks, her quick mind might be able to manipulate her into the finals.

Parvati: 76-1.I still can't see how she wins a Final Tribal Council vote, but if she weren't a former winner, she would likely be the favorite.  She has Russell's protection, a solid alliance with Danielle, an awaiting alliance with Amanda, and an immunity idol.  Maybe I'm wrong about the "former winner" thing because if I am, Parvati might just win again.

Rupert: 100-1.  With JT royally screwing up the game for himself, and Sandra making a bee-line right for him, Rupert actually gets to move up the rankings.  He may be a prime target for Russell as a strong competitor, and he's unlikely to win many Final Tribal Council votes, but at least he's not as dumb as JT.

JT:Eleventy-Billion-1.  Dumbest move in Survivor history.

OK, that's what I've got for this week.  What did you think of the episode?  Was this truly the stupidest move the game has ever seen?  Or am I just not seeing the brilliance?  What do you expect to come out of The Merge next week?  Will the Heroes get hip to Russell's machinations and be able oust him?  Will Amanda and Parvati reform the Micronesia alliance?  What do you think of my current odds?  Drop your questions, comments and theories below.  Please be sure to check out TVOverMind for all of your television needs.  I will see you next Friday with a recap of The Merge.  Until then, I'm off to get a (BPP) Outback Steakhouse Bloomin' Onion.

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